This article by Tavleen Singh in today's Indian Express makes me very unhappy. Indian economy was growing at over 7.6% per
annum and now where are we? Standing in ATM and Bank queues for withdrawing our own cash. I am afraid that
demonetization is inflicting long term damage on the Indian Economy. A
reversal in economic growth is not something to be taken lightly. It
changes people's expectations and behaviours. Also, one generation may
suffer due to a few years of degrowth.
I am reminded of Mr.Pan whom I met in China in 2002. Pan spoke excellent English, but was working as a cab driver in the company that I was visiting. I asked him why it was that, he, one who can speak good English, is working as a cab driver, when China desperately needed English Skills. His answer was eye opener. He graduated in English Literature in 1975 when the 'Gang of Four' was ruling China. They branded English as 'unpatriotic' and barred any companies from recruiting English Literature Graduates. This policy continued for over 10 years during which Pan and his batchmates decided to pursue other occupations. But they were branded as 'Anti National' because they learned English and no one was ready to give him a job. Finally, he learned Car Driving in desperation and has been working in this job for over 15 years...
The point is, two years is a long time in the lives
of people. A reversal in their fortunes due to ill thought out public policies could put them on the path to an
irreversible loss of quality of life.
This is the implication of
even one or two years of degrowth, especially if that was due to badly
planned and executed policy. Confidence in the government can take long
time to come back...
1 comment:
I hope you will keep on submitting new articles or blog posts & thank you for sharing your great experience with us.
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